NCEI is now archiving CDIAC’s ocean carbon data and will complete the transfer prior to CDIAC’s closure.A plan to integrate the content of CDIAC’s ocean carbon web sites and services is being developed, with a target completion date of March 31, 2017.Data submission and access may be somewhat different than existing CDIAC processes, but NCEI will make every effort to ensure that it is as easy as possible for researchers to submit, locate and retrieve data.We wish to express our gratitude to the Department of Energy for sponsoring the center for the past 34 years and NOAA and NASA for devoting financial resources and expertise to keep the functions of an ocean carbon depository in place.It is difficult today to raise a strong opinion in the nuclear-weapon states for nuclear disarmament.One reason is that the public sees the risk of a nuclear war between these states as so unlikely that it can be disregarded.This unanimous statement was published by the Canberra Commission in 1996.Among the commission members were internationally known former ministers of defense and of foreign affairs and generals.
So, in that sense, noninformative priors are no big deal, they’re just a way to get started. Traditionally in statistics we’ve worked with the paradigm of a single highly informative dataset with only weak external information.
A noninformative uniform prior on the coefficients is equivalent to a hierarchical N(0,tau^2) model with tau set to a very large value.
This is a very strong prior distribution pulling the estimates apart, and the resulting estimates of individual coefficients are implausible. Any setting where the prior information really is strong, so that if you assume a flat prior, you can get silly estimates simply from noise variation.
It simply refers to our current evidence, but it is statistically unlikely that we will have found the literal earliest example of a species or an occupation.
So conclusions about “earliest” are always changing, moving back as more evidence is found.